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Fredericksburg Leader

Friday, November 1, 2024

GASOLINE INVENTORIES DROP AGAIN, DISTILLATES BUILD FOR SECOND STRAIGHT WEEK

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The Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its weekly report today on the status of petroleum inventories in the United States. Here are some highlights:

CRUDE OIL INVENTORIES:

Crude oil inventories decreased by 1.0 million barrels (MMbbl) to a total of 419.8 MMbbl. At 419.8 MMbbl, inventories are 64.5 MMbbl below last year (-13.3%) and are about 14% below the five-year average for this time of year. Inventories in Cushing, OK, the NYMEX delivery point, fell 1.0 million barrels to a total of 24.8 million barrels. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) decreased 6.0 million barrels from the prior week to 532.0 million barrels and stands 15.3% below the year ago level.

Domestic crude oil production was unchanged 11.9 million barrels per day, 900,000 bpd higher than the year ago period. While Alaska oil production rose 13,000bpd to 460,000bpd, production in the Lower 48 fell 100,000bpd to 11.4 million barrels per day.

GASOLINE INVENTORIES:

Gasoline inventories decreased by 0.5 million barrels (MMbbl) to a total of 219.7 MMbbl. At 219.7 MMbbl, inventories are down 12.8 MMbbl, or 5.5% lower than a year ago and are 8% below the five-year average for this time of year.

Here’s how individual regions and their gasoline inventory fared:

East Coast (+0.7 MMbbl)

Midwest (-0.8 MMbbl)

Gulf Coast (-0.1 MMbbl)

Rockies (-0.7 MMbbl)

West Coast (+0.4 MMbbl)

It’s important to note which regions saw increases/decreases as this information likely drives prices up (in the case of falling inventories) or down (in the case of rising inventories).

DISTILLATE (DIESEL, HEATING OIL) INVENTORIES:

Distillate inventories increased by 1.7 million barrels to a total of 106.9 MMbbl. At 106.9 MMbbl, inventories are down 22.2 MMbbl, or 17.2% lower vs. a year ago. Distillate inventories stand about 21% below the five-year average for this time of year.

IMPLIED GASOLINE DEMAND:

Gasoline supplied to the market amounted to 8.80 million barrels per day (MMbpd), or 229,000 bpd lower than the previous week. So far in 2022, implied demand (“products supplied”) is 2.2% higher versus 2021, per the EIA.

REFINERY OUTPUT/UTILIZATION:

Refinery utilization increased by 1.4 percentage points vs. last week’s numbers to reach 93.2%. Gasoline production decreased to 9.4 million barrels per day while distillate fuel production increased to 5.1 million barrels per day last week.

Utilization rates for the last week were as follows:

East Coast: 97.0% (+2.0%)

Midwest: 94.1% (+4.3%)

Gulf Coast: 97.4% (+2.2%)

Rocky Mountains: 63.2% (-13.4%)

West Coast: 83.0% (-2.4%)

These percentages show how much of a region’s overall capacity was used to refine oil. It’s important to note these percentages, because the lower the utilization percent, the lower output — which has a direct impact on local gasoline prices. If refiners in your region have low output, you’re more likely to see gas prices rise.

OVERALL SUPPLY:

Total oil stocks in the United States (excluding the SPR) are down by 121.9 MMbbl (-9.6%) versus a year ago and stand at 1.154 billion barrels (excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve).

IMPORTS/EXPORTS:

The U.S. imported 6.49 MMbpd of crude oil per day last week, down by 82,000 bpd vs. the previous week, while crude oil exports rose by 821,000 bpd to 4.34 MMbpd. Total motor gasoline imports last week averaged 847,000 bpd. The U.S. also imported 80,000 bpd of distillate fuels. However, during the same timeframe, the U.S. exported 774,000 bpd of finished gasoline and 1,124,000 bpd of distillates. In total, U.S. companies exported 10.58 MMbpd of oil and petroleum products.

Before the report was released, the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil was up 78 cents to $110.55 per barrel. Just after the report was released, oil was up 85 cents per barrel.

Original source can be found here.

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