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Saturday, January 18, 2025

Oil Inventories Jump, Gasoline Stocks decline as Refinery Output Weakens

18

GasBuddy issued the following announcement on Oct. 27

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its weekly report today on the status of petroleum inventories in the United States. Here are some highlights:

CRUDE OIL INVENTORIES:

Crude oil inventories increased by 4.3 million barrels (MMbbl) to a total of 430.8 MMbbl. At 430.8 MMbbl, inventories are 61.6 MMbbl below last year (12.5%) and are about 6% below the five-year average for this time of year. Inventories in Cushing, OK, the NYMEX delivery point, fell 3.9 million barrels to a total of 27.3 million barrels.

CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION:

Domestic crude oil production was unchanged at 11.3 million barrels per day, 200,000 bpd higher than the year ago period. While Alaska oil production rose 11,000 barrels per day to 442,000bpd, production in the Lower 48 was unchanged at 10.9 million barrels per day.

GASOLINE INVENTORIES:

Gasoline inventories decreased by 2.0 million barrels (MMbbl) to a total of 215.7 MMbbl. At 215.7 MMbbl, inventories are down 10.4 MMbbl, or 4.6% lower than a year ago and are 3% below the five-year average for this time of year.

Here’s how individual regions and their gasoline inventory fared:

East Coast (-0.4 MMbbl)

Midwest (-0.3 MMbbl)

Gulf Coast (-1.0 MMbbl)

Rockies (-0.1 MMbbl)

West Coast (-0.2 MMbbl)

It’s important to note which regions saw increases/decreases as this information likely drives prices up (in the case of falling inventories) or down (in the case of rising inventories).

DISTILLATE (DIESEL, HEATING OIL) INVENTORIES:

Distillate inventories decreased by 0.4 million barrels to a total of 125.0 MMbbl. At 125.0 MMbbl, inventories are down 31.3 MMbbl, or 20.0% lower vs. a year ago. Distillate inventories stand about 8% below the five-year average for this time of year.

IMPLIED GASOLINE DEMAND:

Gasoline supplied to the market amounted to 9.32 million barrels per day (MMbpd), or 311,000 bpd lower than the previous week. So far in 2021, implied demand (“products supplied”) is 9.6% higher versus 2020, per the EIA.

REFINERY OUTPUT/UTILIZATION:

Refinery utilization increased by 0.3 percentage points vs. last week’s numbers to reach 85.1%. Gasoline production increased to 10.1 million barrels per day while distillate fuel production increased to 4.6 million barrels per day last week.

Utilization rates for the last week were as follows:

East Coast: 76.6% (-0.8%)

Midwest: 89.0% (-0.2%)

Gulf Coast: 84.2% (+1.3%)

Rocky Mountains: 79.1% (-4.9%)

West Coast: 86.5% (-0.1%)

These percentages show how much of a region’s overall capacity was used to refine oil. It’s important to note these percentages, because the lower the utilization percent, the lower output — which has a direct impact on local gasoline prices. If refiners in your region have low output, you’re more likely to see gas prices rise.

OVERALL SUPPLY:

Total oil stocks in the United States are down by 157.9 MMbbl (-11.4%) versus a year ago and stand at 1.233 billion barrels (excluding the Strategic Petroleum Reserve).

IMPORTS/EXPORTS:

The U.S. imported 6.25 MMbpd of crude oil per day last week, up by 430,000 bpd vs. the previous week, while crude oil exports fell by 273,000 bpd to 2.79 MMbpd. Total motor gasoline imports last week averaged 493,000 bpd. The U.S. also imported 325,000 bpd of distillate fuels. However, during the same timeframe, the U.S. exported 813,000 bpd of finished gasoline and 1,099,000 bpd of distillates. In total, U.S. companies exported 7.90 MMbpd of oil and petroleum products.

Before the report was released, the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil was down 42 cents to $84.23 per barrel. Just after the report was released, oil was down 96 cents per barrel.

Original source can be found here.

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